According to White House Dossier, President Obama will announce today that all US combat troops will withdraw from Afghanistan before he leaves office.
Troops remaining in country will be consolidated to Kabul and Bagram airbase next year, then withdrawn completely as the US enters ordinary diplomatic relations with the Afghan government.
The president will reduce the current contingent of 32,000 troops to 9,800 by the end of 2014, cut the total to about 5,000 in 2015, and then establish a normal U.S. diplomatic presence in the country the following year.
Everything is contingent on the Afghanis agreeing to sign a deal that would keep U.S. troops in the country. Both men contending for the presidency have said they would sign.
Military commanders had recommended that least 10,000 troops should remain.
The timetable seems tailor made for Obama to declare victory in Afghanistan on his watch.
Here is Mr. Obama in 2009 at West Point, describing the direction the war would take.